Presidential Prediction

Staying away from politics (although long time readers of ES probably know where I stand), a horse race is still a horse race. I got 3-2 odds on Kerry a couple of months ago, and I think he looks real good tonight. Here's my rational,which surprisingly, I haven't seen come up on any of the endless stupid talk shows that I occasionally watch.

When the incumbent is well-thought of, they win in a landslide. It seems like there is no way Bush will succeed to this extent, ergo, he will lose.

The evidence?

Clinton routes 2nd time
Bush Sr. loses
Reagan clobbers Mondale
Carter loses
Ford loses
Nixon destroys McGovern
Johnson quits

By the way, in Palm Beach County, I waited two hours to vote.